Some Guaranteed Winners…
If you are wondering who has the upper hand in today’s playoff games, take LAA and CWS.
Ervin Santana goes to the mound for LAA today against the Red Sox, and he has simply broken out. In September and October, he posted K/BB ratios of 8.0 and 7.8, respectively. In fact, these two months were his strongest statistical months, despite mediocre surface numbers in September.
Daisuke Matsuzaka is going to counter LAA for Boston today, but there are several warning signs on why you shouldn’t go with him. Despite incredible surface stats, Matsuzaka walks way too many batters to be a reliable option for Boston in the long term. No pitcher averaging 4.6 walks per 9 innings will find continued success in the league. Matsuzaka is a deceptive pitcher who has good skills, but I would stay far, far away from him in 2009 drafts.
Scott Kazmir will be pitching for the Rays today against the White Sox, and there are some major warning signs in his skill set as well. He had good statistical months in June and July, but has walked a high amount of batters in August and September (around 5-6 walks per 9 innings!). This is a major warning sign that Kazmir may be burnt out, and despite being the favorite in today’s game, you have to love CWS’s chances.
Mark Buehrle takes the mound for the White Sox today, and before you dismiss him as “just another average veteran,” take a closer look at his surface stats. Buehrle has posted K/BB ratios of 3+ over the past four months, after starting the season’s first three months with a K/BB ratio of 1.6. Buehrle is no spring chicken, coming in at the ripe age of 29, but he has demonstrated significant skill growth.
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